Mock Draft Analysis – Part 1

08/26/2010 12:47 AM -  Steven Ives

This article will be divided into six parts. In each part, I will provide my analysis of two teams that participated in the 12-team Mock Draft that was completed recently. For full mock draft rankings, be sure to purchase a copy of the 2010-11 Draft Guide.

For Part 1, I will start with teams picked by reader Robert Finkelstein and writer Ray Calder.

Robert’s team (round selected in parentheses):

C: Eric Staal (4)
C: David Krejci (11)
LW: Zach Parise (1)
LW: Andy McDonald (9)
RW: Loui Eriksson (5)
RW: Steve Downie (8)
D: Andrei Markov (3)
D: Mark Streit (7)
D: Paul Martin (10)
D: Jamie McBain (12)
G: Ryan Miller (2)
G: Cam Ward (6)
BN: Ian White (13)
BN: Jonas Gustavsson (14)
BN: Mike Ribeiro (15)
BN: David Clarkson (16)

WHAT WENT RIGHT: Picking 12th and 13th, Robert got Parise and Miller — fantastic picks that I personally had both ranked in my Top 8. Picking last, that was an absolute coup. Staal in the 4th was a great grab, as I like him getting around 90+ points this year. Last year he really turned it around after a slow start. I loved the pick of Downie in the 8th round — he’s a unique player in any league which counts PIM. He’s the only player in the NHL capable of 50+ pts and 200+ PiM, especially since wunderkind Steven Stamkos loves playing on a line with him.

WHAT WENT WRONG: Jamie McBain in the 12th was a reach, especially when you consider that two defensemen on his own team which are a lock to outscore him were not yet off the board (Joni Pitkanen -13, Joe Corvo – still on the board). McBain’s +/- is also a dubious proposition. Robert had the same dilemma picking Gustavsson in the 14th round — J.S. Giguere is still on the board and will get the lion’s share of the goaltending load for a pitiful team in Toronto. I also think Robert waited one round too many for his second center — taking Krejci in the 11th when a trio of superior options went earlier in the same round: Matt Duchene, Ryan Kesler and then Travis Zajac.

Ray’s team

C: Pavel Datsyuk (4)
C: Vincent Lecavalier (5)
LW: Taylor Hall (6)
LW: Tyler Ennis (12)
RW: Dany Heatley (1)
RW: Claude Giroux (11)
D: Dan Boyle (3)
D: P.K. Subban (7)
D: Brian Rafalski (8)
D: Erik Karlsson (9)
G: Henrik Lundqvist (2)
G: Michael Leighton (10)
BN: Jakub Voracek (13)
BN: Michael Del Zotto (14)
BN: Alexander Frolov (15)
BN: Tim Thomas (16)

WHAT WENT RIGHT: Datsyuk and Lecavalier at center in the 4th + 5th rounds was remarkable. Ray’s center pairing is as good as anyone’s and he didn’t touch the position for three rounds. Rafalski falling to the 9th round was fortuitous — 45 points and +20 are almost a lock with that underrated stud on the blueline. I loved the pick of Giroux in the 11th — this kid’s got superstar potential and will have a lot more ice time and power-play time this year; we saw what Giroux was capable of in his terrific playoff run last year.

WHAT WENT WRONG: Hall in the 6th round and Subban in the 7th would have been good picks — had Ray waited until the 13th and 14th rounds. This isn’t a keeper league, and I would be shocked if those two players COMBINED for as many points as, say, Ryan Kesler who wasn’t taken until the 11th round. Leighton in the 10th was a reach — Brian Boucher will play at least 40 games in Philly — that is UNLESS they get either of two goalies they covet (Jonathan Bernier and Antti Niemi), in which case Leighton will be a throwaway pick along with Hall and Subban. Also, who’s getting any penalty minutes on this team? In head-to-head, it’s tough to punt an entire category like that.

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